In U.P. Bihar and many other states, voting is ordinarily on caste and religious basis, unless there is a wave. There was a Modi wave in the May 2014 Lok Sabha elections, but that has dissipated entirely, as people have seen through the 'vikas' slogan, and found it was only a jumla. So now voting will be on the traditional basis of caste and religion. The upper castes will broadly vote for BJP in Bihar, but total upper castes i.e. Brahmins, Rajputs, Bhumihars, and Banias are not more than 20%. Paswan will get the NDA 7-8% SC votes ( the entire SC community in Bihar is not with Paswan, as they are with Mayavati in U.P. ). ). That makes about 28% votes for the NDA. On the other hand the Yadavs ( about 10% of Bihar population ) and Kurmis ( about 9%) and many other OBCs will vote for the Grand Alliance. Muslims ( 17% of Bihar population ) will solidly vote for the Alliance, as they feel insecure after ghar wapasi, Muzaffarnagar and Ballabhgarh incidents. That itself makes it 36% or more votes for the Grand Alliance, a clearly winning combination. The packages and speeches by Modi, Nitish , Lalu, Sonia and others will matter little. 90 or 95% Biharis will not cast their vote but vote their caste
Hari Om
Like · Reply · Comment
SAYA PAK,ANTON INGIN BERBAGI CERITA KEPADA KALIAN SEMUA ,dulunya sy seorang guru honor yg hidup susah dan banyak hutan ,krn gaji yg tdk cukup untuk menghidupi ke luarnga sy ,ahirnya sy coba untuk menghubungi AKI MUPENG dan dgn senang hati AKI mau membatu sy untuk memberikan angka hasil ritualnya ,dan angka yg diberikan AKI MUPENG benar-benar terbukti tembus dan saya mengucapkan banyak terimakasih kepada AKI MUPENG yang telah menolong saya dalam kesulitan ini tidak pernah terfikirkan dari benak saya kalau nomor yang saya pasang bisa tembus dan ALHAMDULILLAH kini saya sekeluarga sudah bisa melunasi semua hutang2 kami,sebenarnya saya bukan penggemar togel tapi apa boleh buat kondisi yang tidak memunkinkan dan akhirnya saya minta tolong sama AKI MUPENG dan dengan senang hati AKI MUPENG mau membantu saya..,ALHAMDULILLAH nomor yang dikasi AKI MUPENG semuanya bener2 terbukti tembus dan baru kali ini saya menemukan dukun yang jujur,jangan anda takut untuk menhubungiya jika anda ingin mendapatkan nomor yang betul2 tembus seperti saya,silahkan hubungi AKI MUPENG DI nomor 0852 9445 0976 ,INI KISAH NYATA DARI SY TEMAN” ,terima kasih
ReplyDeleteSebelum saya ceritrakan kisah hudupku terlebih dahulu perkenalkan nama saya Pak Kusniadi. Dari Bogor. saya hanya ingin berbagi ceritah dengan kalian semua para penggilah togel, awalnya itu saya hanya kuli bagunan,punya anak dua,dan istri saya hanya penjual syayur keliling dikampung kami , ekonomi kami sangat pas-pasan, hutan tambah numpuk, anak saya juga butuh biaya sekolah,hidup ini bener-bener susah.Tapi akhirnya ada teman saya yang bilang bila mau merubah nasib coba hubungi nomor hp MBAH JEJE TRIJAYA katanya dia bisa membantu orang yang lagi susah. jadi saya lansung hubungi MBAH JEJE TRIJAYA, dan saya menceritakan semuanya, tenteng keluarga kami akhirnya saya di kasih angka ghaib [4d,] sudah 3x putaran tembus,dengan adanya MBAH JEJE TRIJAYA,saya sekeluarga bersukur semua utang saya lunas bahkan sekarang saya sudah buka usaha. silahkan anda buktikan sendiri insya allah anda tidak akan kecewa dari angka ghaib MBAH JEJE TRIJAYA bagi yang berminat hubungi MBAH JEJE TRIJAYA di nomor ini: 0823 3737 6471 dan saya sudah buktikan sendiri angka ghaibnya demih allah demi tuhan...ini kisah nyata dari saya,terima kasih.
DeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteI think you are partially wrong,because today's BJP is not the upper caste conglomerate,Modi himself is an OBC.Secondly,BJP has many SC/ST/OBC candidates.You have also ignored the Jitan Ram Manjhi factor as the Maha Dalit votes may go to BJP or NDA.So caste equation may not work well for NITISH,LALU.If NITSH,LALU,CONGRESS were so secured they would not have to use Caste card as Everyday they are slamming PM Modi on developmental issues.Bihar may vote on caste line but numerous reports suggest that PM Modi set the agenda.Nitish would not have succeeded in previous elections with BJP if only the caste factor had played the role of formation of former NDA govts.
ReplyDeleteWhy do the inhabitants of Bihar (mostly the workforce and the intelligent ones) try to search out the employment out of Bihar? Many times, they do not go back to Bihar on the eve of election because of their occupations outside. And the political parties playing their politics find this situation very much favourable to them because in absence of the wisdom, they are able to play their dirty game of caste oriented politics. This is the curse to Bihar and responsible for the under-development in spite of the vast resources it has. Hope, this time, the voters may use their intellect and choose appropriate candidates who may work beyond the casteism. Otherwise, Bihr will continue to remain the most poor State in spite of having vast possibilities of development.
ReplyDelete