Friday, 7 October 2016

The era of blood and iron is fast approahing in India
After the events in Kashmir it has become evident that the era of votes and speeches which we had witnessed in India since Independence is fast receding ( though it is not yet entirely over ), and is being rapidly replaced by the era of blood and iron ( blud und eisen ) as the great German Chancellor Bismarck called it in his speech to the Prussian Landtag in 1862

Thursday, 6 October 2016

The Tet Offensive is bound to come


One thing is certain in Kashmir : despite all the jingoism and chest thumping of our TRP driven media, with its Don Quixote, Lord Haw Haw, and Dr. Goebbels who keep announcing our great victory by the 'surgical strike' and the 'isolation' of Pakistan, and fatuous statements of the BJP spokesmen on TV, as well as the bombastic calls by many ' to stand united ', the truth is that the Tet Offensive is bound to come for our army in Kashmir, as it came for the Americans in Vietnam in January 1968.

At present our security forces are only getting guerilla pinpricks, as in the Kulgam and Handwara attacks, after the Uri attack. But the clouds will build up, and one day there will be a cloudburst.
Let there be no doubt : almost all Kashmiris living in the valley have turned deadly hostile to India due to the stupidity of our political leaders. And the militants among them are getting sophisticated arms from China via Pakistan. while the non militants are giving the militants sanctuary, food and intelligence, as the Viet Cong got from the people in South Vietnam.

The American General Westmoreland kept saying for a long time that America was winning the war in Vietnam, that he could see ' light at the end of the tunnel', etc. etc. But all this stopped after Tet.

Wednesday, 5 October 2016

Telengana

Telengana was till 2014, when it became a separate state, a part of Andhra Pradesh, the other two parts being Coastal Andhra and Rayalseema. The common feature in all these parts is the Telugu language.

Till 1948 Telengana was the main part of the dominions of the Nizam of Hyderabad, whereas Coastal Andhra and Rayalseema were under direct British rule, being part of Madras province.

Telengana became part of India in 1948, and part of the new state of Andhra Pradesh after the States Reorganization Act of 1956.

Telengana remained very backward under the feudal rule of the Nizams, and was significantly more backward than Coastal Andhra and Rayalseema. In protest against this feudal rule, the armed Telengana agitation led by the CPI started in 1946, using guerrilla warfare. Many people perished in this struggle.

When General Elections to the Lok Sabha were announced in 1952, many Telengana struggle leaders had arrest warrants against them, and were underground. They contested the elections while remaining underground, and due to their popularity won by huge majorities.

When these elected leaders came secretly to Delhi the problem before them was how to enter Parliament. There were still arrest warrants against them. So they decided to scale the wall of Parliament at midnight, and secretly enter, which they did.

When the police found this, they were about to arrest them, but then they received strict instructions from the Prime Minister Pt. Nehru not to do so. Next morning Nehru invited them to his residence, patted their backs, gave them choice snacks to eat, and said he admired them as they were bravely fighting against feudal oppression. He told them that the cases against them were all being withdrawn, and they could move about freely. They were given official accommodations, official cars, secretaries, servants, etc like other M.P.s,

In this way they were won over, and the armed rebellion collapsed, just as it happened in Nepal, where the leaders of the armed struggle like Prachanda and Bhattarai have been won over by providing them similar facilities and a comfortable life.

As I had mentioned earlier, Telengana was more backward than the other two parts of Andhra Pradesh viz. Coastal Andhra and Rayalseema, because it was under the Nizam's feudal rule. The medium of instruction in Telengana was Urdu, whereas that of the other two parts was English. The result was that when Telengana was combined with Coastal Andhra and Rayalseema, the Telengana boys, who did not know English ( whereas the boys from the other two parts of the state did ) could not qualify in the civil services examinations, as knowledge of English was compulsory. All the jobs in the civil services therefore went to the boys of Coastal Andhra and Rayalseema.. Consequently another agitation was started by the people of Telengana against this injustice, and this resulted in a Constitutional Amendment introducing Article 371D in the Constitution and promulgation of the ' mulki rules ', which provided for reservation of govt. jobs for people in a region within the state.

No doubt Telengana was more backward than the rest of Andhra Pradesh due to the Nizam's feudal rule, but when N.T. Rama Rao, who was himself from Coastal Andhra, became the Chief Minister in 1983 ( he remained C.M. till 1995 ) he sought to remove this disparity. He established schools and hospitals in Telengana, set up Mandals there, provided electricity to the region, etc. Consequently the disparity with the other two regions was considerably reduced.

In my opinion, therefore, there was no justification for grant of separate statehood to Telengana. Creation of a separate state costs a huge amount of money, which a poor country like ours can ill afford, and also a lot of dislocation and other problems. In fact when I went to Hyderabad in 2013 I said so in a television interview, which was widely telecast. The result was that a huge crowd of pro-Telengana demonstrators gathered in front of the Lake View Guest House where I was staying, and shouted slogans against me. Unfortunately, I had not brought my danda with me from Delhi, otherwise I would have dealt with them in an appropriate manner.

The agitation for separate statehood was led by that fraud KCR, who, adopting the tactics of another fraud, Gandhi, went on indefinite hunger strike

The next year, 2014, the Congress Govt. thinking that it would get them some seats in the coming Lok Sabha elections ( it did not ), announced creation of Telengana state, a move which has created immense problems, and has benefited no one except a few crooked politicians and businessmen

Hari Om
The War Drums are clearly sounding
The war drums can clearly be heard in our sub continent.
The 'surgical' strike by the Indian army 3 kms. inside POK is said to have killed 50 terrorists and hit 7 of their camps and has been widely acclaimed in India as a great victory, with a lot of clapping and cheering.
But it is doubtful whether the 'surgery' destroyed all the cancer cells. In fact it is likely to cause more metastasis.
The Pakistan army and security forces were clearly taken by surprise by this attack, just like the Hessians were on 25/26 December 1776 when George Washington's soldiers crossed the Delaware and attacked them, catching them unexpectedly.
But now the element of surprise is over.The Pakistanis and the terrorists will henceforth be on their guard, and our army cannot again catch them with their pants down.. The camps near the LOC must have been shifted by now far from the LOC, and locating and attacking them 30,40 or 50 kms. away from the LOC is quite a different cup of tea. To attack them again will meet with stiff resistance by the Pakistanis, and may even result in all out war.
But some events, once begun, have their own logic. There will definitely be more strikes by the Kashmiri militants on our security forces, the attack at Kulgam being an example, and some of our soldiers will be killed in them. There will then be pressure on our Govt. and army to retaliate, and the coming elections in U.P., Punjab, etc will add to the motivation.
But how will that retaliation take place ?
To my mind, it can take place in one of two ways ( or both of them simultaneously ).
1. Our army may attack some terrorist camps in POK or Pakistan.The problem, however, here is that this has now to be done deep across the LOC, and not merely 3 or 4 kms. from it ( since the camps near the LOC would have been shifted by now ), and will meet strong opposition from the Pakistani forces. And it must be remembered that Pakistan is not alone, it has the backing of China, a super power, which has made huge investments in Balochistan, and will therefore not allow Pakistan to go under. It is very likely that China has supplied sophisticated weapons to the Kashmiri militants, and will supply more.
2. Attacks will be made by our army and para military forces on the Kashmiri militants within Kashmir ( like the ' search and destroy ' missions of the American army in Vietnam ). But here the problem will be, as it was for the Americans in Vietnam, of identifying the militants. Usually they will not be in any uniform, and since they have the sympathy of the people, can merge with them any time. The result will be that anyone even remotely suspected to be a terrorist, even though really innocent, will be targeted by our army. This is bound to cause huge civilian casualties, causing more hatred of our forces, and more resistance, as it happened in Vietnam. The guerrilla war will grow and grow, arms being supplied by China, via Pakistan.
An army can fight another army, it cannot fight the masses. A tiger can attack a huge prey, it cannot attack a swarm of mosquitoes. In a conventional war one usually knows where the enemy is located. In a guerrilla war, the enemy is everywhere, he is nowhere. A guerrilla fights by hit and run tactics. He chooses the place, time and duration of the attack, and prepares thoroughly before making it. He equally thoroughly prepares the manner of retreat after the attack. If he has popular support, which the Kashmiri militant undoubtedly has ( however much some people may deny it ), he has far better intelligence ( as the Vietcong had ) and is given sanctuary, food and other supplies by the people.
It is time to face realities. The war drums are sounding

Tuesday, 4 October 2016

The dreadful times to come
Indians,
I do not wish to alarm or terrify you but only to tell you the truth.
The times which are coming in our sub continent will be so horrible that I, who am now 70 years of age, and have seen much in life, shudder to think about it.
I am reminded of Mark Antony;s speech in Act 3, Scene 1 of Shakespeare's ' Julius Caesar ' while he was before the corpse of the murdered Caesar :

" Domestic fury and fierce civil strife
Shall cumber all the parts of Italy.
Blood and destruction shall be so in use,
And dreadful objects so familiar,
That mothers shall but smile when they behold
Their infants quartered with the hands of war,
All pity choked with custom of fell deeds,
And Caesar’s spirit, ranging for revenge,
With Ate by his side come hot from hell,
Shall in these confines with a monarch’s voice
Cry “Havoc!” and let slip the dogs of war,
That this foul deed shall smell above the earth
With carrion men, groaning for burial. "

This was said of Italy in the past, but now it can be said of the coming times in India. There will be so much bloodshed and destruction ( my guess is that about 10% of the present population of India will perish ) that when mothers see their slaughtered children's bodies they will only smile, and men, unable to stand the agony, will plead to be buried quickly.
It will be a situation 1000 times worse than that at the end of the Mahabharata war when the wailing Kaurava widows and mothers cursed Krishna for not preventing it ( see on Youtube ' Gandhari's curse ' ).
Why do I say all this ? Let me explain
Our national aim must be to create a new India, which is highly prosperous, highly industrialized, and with its people enjoying a high standard of living.
But there are two powerful forces acting against this, one domestic, and the other international.
1. Domestic forces
India is presently passing through a transitional period in its history, from feudal agricultural society to modern Industrial society. At present we are neither totally feudal nor totally industrial, but somewhere in between. While we have achieved a certain partial level of industrialization, we still have a lot of remnants of feudalism in our society in the form of casteism, communalism,superstitions, etc.and have still to emerge as a highly industrialized country, as in North America and Europe.
A transitional period by its very nature is a very painful and agonizing period in history, full of turbulence, turmoil and bloodshed. If we read the history of Europe from the 17th to 19th Centuries, when Europe was passing through its transition from feudalism to a modern industrial society, we find that this was a terrible period in Europe, full of turbulence, wars, revolutions, chaos, social churning, and intellectual ferment, with all kinds of theories of Voltaire, Hobbes, Locke, Rousseau, Thomas Paine, etc, It was only after going through this fire that modern society emerged in Europe.
India is presently going through this fire. We are going through a very painful and agonizing period in our history which I think will last for around another 20 years.
For after all what is a transition in history ? It is a period when society is being turned topsy turvy, and is in a state of total confusion. The old feudal society is being torn apart and totally uprooted, and is being replaced by a new, modern society. Old values are being challenged and gradually destroyed, and supplanted by new values. As Shakespeare said in Macbeth " Fair is foul, and foul is fair ". In other words, what was regarded good earlier, e.g. the caste system, is now regarded bad ( at least by the enlightened sections of our society ), and what was regarded bad earlier, e.g. equality, education to women, etc is regarded good. The whole of society is thrown into chaos and confusion. Defenders of the old order are being challenged by modern minded proponents of the new.
At present in India there are still a lot of remnants of feudalism in the form of casteism, communalism, and superstitious thinking. Vote bank politics proves this. A mighty struggle will have to be waged by all patriotic Indians, who will have to make great sacrifices, to combat feudal ideas and destroy the feudal remnants in our society, and replace them with modern, scientific practices and ideas.
Can all this happen without a great deal of turmoil ? No, it cannot. There will be fierce resistance by the champions of the old, feudal order, who dislike changes. One may wish that the transition is without any pain or turbulence, but unfortunately that is not how history functions. So the next 20 years or so in India is likely to witness a lot of turbulence, turmoil and bloodshed before the new, modern prosperous society is created.
2. International forces
The developed countries do not wish India to emerge as a powerful industrial giant ( for which it has all the potential, with its large force of outstanding engineers, scientists and technicians, and immense natural resources ), because if it does, it will become a powerful rival to their own industries. Presently,the developed countries are reeling under an economic recession since several years, and if India becomes an industrial giant, that will add to their woes. So they will do their utmost to prevent it.
Presently India is the biggest purchaser of foreign weapons, spending billion of dollars on them, money which could be used for the welfare of our own people. But if it becomes highly industrialized, it will manufacture its own arms. What, then will happen to the super profits which the foreign arms manufacturers are making presently ?
So the developed countries will do every devilish thing to prevent this. They will instigate caste and communal hatred and violence, acting through their local agents, their running dogs ( as the Chinese would say ), and even try to bomb our country into the stone age, as the Americans tried in Vietnam, and the Russians in Afghanistan.
It is only a genuine revolution ( not the fake Gandhi type ) which can save our country. But historical experience has shown that about 10% of the people are killed in a revolution. For instance, at the end of the Chinese Revolution in 1949, the Chinese authorities made a rough calculation of the number of people killed in the Revolution ( which lasted from about 1924 to 1949 ), and found that about 10% of the Chinese people ( 500 million at that time ) had been killed in it. The Vietnamese people suffered 3 or 4 million deaths, out of the total population of about 40 million at that time ) in their revolution.
A genuine revolution witnesses a civil war, and a civil war is a terrible thing. All rules of combat, e.g. of the Geneva Conventions, are cast aside in such a war. It is a dirty, grisly war, often a war in the shadows, in which even innocent civilians, including women and children are not spared, Events, such as the terrible things which happened during the Spanish Civil War, in the Shanghai and Nanking massacres in China, and in Mylai in Vietnam, are common occurrences in such a war.
People will get so accustomed to seeing horrible deeds in such a war that, as Shakespeare said, mothers will only smile on seeing the dead bodies of their slaughtered children, and men in agony will plead for a quick burial.
What forms such a civil war will take cannot be foretold with any degree of accuracy, but events in Kashmir, which are still developing, give an indication
I am sorry to paint such a scary picture, but unfortunately that is how history functions, and it is time someone told you the truth.


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Monday, 3 October 2016

A full blown guerilla war is developing in Kashmir
I think the people of India, the Govt. of India, and the Indian army must now be told the truth : a full blown guerilla war, still in its nascent stage , is fast developing in Kashmir, and we are being misled by our jingoistic media having anchors whom I call Don Quixote, Lord Haw Haw, and Dr. Goebbels.
The truth is that most of the Kashmiri youth have been thoroughly alienated, and are intensely hostile to India.
A guerilla war, to be succesful, must have popular support. " The people are the sea, and we are the fish who swim in them " said a famous Red Army leader in the Chinese revolutionary war. Without popular support, a guerilla war cannot be long sustained, as Che Guevara realized too late in Bolivia.
But there is definitely popular support of the militants in Kashmir. We canot hide this truth, like ostriches. It is true that not all Kashmiri youth are trained and armed militants ( at present only a very small number are ). But the sympathies of most of the Kashmiri youth are with the militants, and they will therefore supply information, sanctuary, food, etc to them. The large crowd of lacs of people in Burhan Wani's funeral has demonstrated this.
To say that all the militants have come across the border is again not correct. A large section of them , like Burhan Wani, are local people, though they are getting weapons from China and Pakistan.
The Kashmiri guerilla war, though still in its nascent stage, is bound to develop rapidly in the days to come, and I may explain why.
I have many relatives who were in the Indian army, and who were posted in Kashmir or in the North East where there was militancy. They explained to me the psychology of our army soldiers. Suppose a patrol of 10 or 20 of our soldiers is going in some area in Kashmir, and is fired upon by some militants. If in this firing 2 or 3 of our soldiers are killed, the rest of them tend to go crazy, seeking revenge for their fallen comrades. They may then enter a neighbouring village, thinking it harboured these militants ( and may indeed have ), and shoot at innocent civilians, despite all instructions to the contrary from higher authorities.. Sometimes even their officers cannot control them.
Also, a soldier who has stayed in militancy affected areas for long periods, as many Indian soldiers have to do, is often no longer psychologically normal, expecting death at any moment. Hence he sometimes tends to do crazy things, like firing at civilians.
The American experience in Vietnam testifies to this.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RMMd2mrJnVM
All this generates further hatred. The near and dear ones of an innocent civilian who is killed, often become militants themselves, to seek revenge. Thus the guerilla war expands, and guerillas increase in numbers. They only lack arms, but these are supplied by China and Pakistan. Even if we can prevent Pakistan from doing so, we cannot prevent China, as it is a super power, and is bent on destabilizing India and capture markets for its industries. No amount of 'surgical' strikes will have significant effect. The Americans also tried many such ' surgical' strikes in Vietnam, but to no avail.
An army can fight another army, it cannot fight the masses. A tiger can attack a large prey, it cannot attack a swarm of mosquitoes.
We may keep boasting of our 'surgical strike', but that solves no problem. There will repeated guerilla type attacks on our armed forces in Kashmir, using hit and run tactics, the most recent one being on the Baramulla army camp.
http://www.ndtv.com/…/heavy-firing-reported-near-army-camp-…
The guerilla has the advantage of surprise. He decides the time, place and duration of the attack. And if he wins the support of the masses he becomes almost invincible, as was demonstrated to the French and Americans in Vietnam
I am sorry to paint this grim picture of the situation in Kashmir, but the truth must be told to all Indians
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The truth about Kashmir
Although I am not in favour of giving azadi to Kashmir, the truth has to be acknowledged. And the truth is that almost the whole of the Kashmiri population has turned hostile to India.
An army can fight another army, it cannot fight the masses. A tiger can attack a beast of prey, it cannot attack a swarm of mosquitoes.
We may keep boasting of our 'surgical strike', but that solves no problem. There will repeated guerilla type attacks on our armed forces in Kashmir, using hit and run tactics, the most recent one being on the Baramulla army camp.
http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/heavy-firing-reported-near-army-camp-in-jammu-and-kashmirs-baramulla-1469307
The guerilla has the advantage of surprise. He decides the time, place and duration of the attack. And if he wins the support of the masses he becomes invincible, as was demonstrated to the French and Americans in Vietnam. He is the fish, and the people are the sea in which he swims, as was said by the Chinese Red Army leaders in their revolutionary war.
Terrible times are ahead

Sunday, 2 October 2016

Swami Vivekanand
Many people have asked me to write about Swami Vivekanand.
I was reluctant to do so, as I would again be accused of negativity and being critical.
But to tell the truth, I find nothing in the man, and feel he has only been hyped up by some Westerners, and of course, Bengalis, most of whom lose their critical faculties if one speaks adversely of some of their holy cows like Tagore ( objectively a British agent ), Subhas Chandra Bose ( a Japanese stooge ), Bankim Chandra ( a highly communal writer who hated Muslims, calling them Yavans, and, as can be seen at the end of 'Anand Math', advising Hindus to join hands with the British imperialists and oppressors against the Muslims ).
Vivekanand's speech at the ' World Parliament of Religions ' in Chicago in 1893 is depicted as an outstanding effort, though even after careful reading of it I find nothing in it.
Vivekanand propagated Vedanta, which I find a false philosophy. Elementary commonsense tells us that the objects in the world are different, and not one, Brahman, as Vedanta says. How can a man, a horse, a table, a house, a computer, etc be said to be one ? And if the world is unreal, an illusion or Maya, as Vedanta says, why do we eat food and drink water ? We should ignore hunger and thirst, regarding it as an illusion, maya. On the face of it this is humbug.
And I am very sceptical of religious figures. They are used by imperialists for their divide and rule policy


Who was right, Gandhi or Bhagat Singh and Surya Sen ?
When Neville Chamberlain, the then Prime Minister of England, came back to London from Germany in 1938 after the shameful Munich Pact ( which surrendered Sudetenland, a part of Czechoslovakia, to the Nazis ), Winston Churchill, who was then in the Opposition, said in the House of Commons :
" You were given a choice between war and dishonour. You chose dishonour, and you will have war ".
So Indians, you were given a choice between that fake ' Mahatma ' Gandhi on the one hand, and the genuine freedom fighters like Bhagat Singh and Surya Sen on the other.
You were given a choice between a genuine freedom struggle, which is always an armed struggle ( because no one gives up his Empire without an armed fight ), in which no doubt millions of our countrymen would have perished, but which would have led to real freedom for India and creation of a prosperous country, or a fake freedom struggle, in which the bloodshed was avoided, but which has led to massive poverty, massive unemployment, almost non existent healthcare and good education for our masses, etc.
You chose the dishonourable path of Gandhi, instead of the honourable path of Bhagat Singh and Surya Sen, but you will now have massive bloodshed.
Many people say that the violent method of freedom struggle in India against the British, as advocated and practised by Bhagat Singh, Surya Sen ( Masterda ), Chandrashekhar Azad, Ashfaqulla, Rajguru, Khudiram Bose, Ram Prasad Bismil, etc was wrong. They assert that it would have led to enormous bloodshed and was bound to have failed. Hence, they allege, the non violent method of Gandhi was correct.
I totally disagree. Firstly,do imperialists give up their huge Empire because someone resorts to hunger strike or does salt march or sings ' Raghupati Raghav Raja Ram ' ? Did the American colonies get freedom from England by non violent methods ? Did George Washington fight the British with his Continental army, or by offering them flowers and satyagrah ? Did Bolivar free the Latin American countries with his battalions. or by presenting the Spaniards lollipops ? Did Ho Chi Minh fight the French by speeches, or with guns ?
India got independence not because of Gandhi but because in the Second World War Germany attacked and weakened England, which made the British appeal to the Americans for help. In return, the Americans put pressure on the British to open up India to American investments too, ( as they did not want a British monopoly in India ). So the 'Independence' of 1947 was really opening up the Indian economy to U.S. investments too. This had nothing to do with Gandhi. In fact had Gandhi had his way, India would never have got independence ( see my blog ' Gandhi--a British agent ).
A freedom struggle is necessarily an armed struggle. No doubt the Indian people would have suffered enormous casualities in such a struggle against the British, but what of that ? As Thomas Jefferson said " The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of tyrants. It is its natural manure. "
I remember I was with a Frenchman in Paris some time back. I told him " Why did you French surrender to the Nazis in 1940 ? You should have fought on. Why did you surrender Paris to the Germans ? "
He replied that the French army had been defeated, and if France had not surrendered there would have been enormous French casualities, and a lot of property, including priceless French cultural treasures would have been destroyed.
I said that even if that had happened Paris should never have been surrendered, but instead should have been burnt down by Frenchmen themselves, as the Russians did to Moscow in September, 1812, instead of surrendering it to Napoleon's army.
When the German attack on England was about to commence, the British Prime Minister, Winston Churchill, in a historic speech in the House of Commons on 19th May, 1940 said ( quoting the Bible ) :
" Arm yourselves, and be ye men of valour, and be in readiness for the conflict, for it is better for us to perish in battle, than to look upon the outrage of our nation, and of our altar "
Then again on 4th June he said " We shall go on to the end. We shall fight in France, we shall fight on the seas and the oceans, -- we shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on the landing grounds, we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills, we shall never surrender. "
Some people may ask : with what weapons could we have fought the British ? We did not have any ?
The answer is ; in guerilla war one fights with the weapons of the enemy, by snatching them from him. And after all, Bhagat singh, Surya Sen, etc got weapons from somewhere.
Our ancestors chose the dishonourable, easy way out offered by that British agent Gandhi, instead of the difficult but genuine path shown by Bhagat Singh and Surya Sen, and we are still suffering for that, even 69 years after independence, and will continue to suffer for many years more